EXPERT ECONOMIST SHARES DIRE WARNING NO AUSSIE WANTS TO HEAR
An expert economist has warned Australia could head into a recession if inflation is not brought under control and interest rates are not increased.
Judo Bank chief economic adviser Warren Hogan warned the Reserve Bank of Australia could raise interest rates this year in a blow to mortgage holders.
He said Australia hadn't increased rates as high as other countries and 'that last little bit' could get inflation and the cost-of-living crisis under control.
However, Mr Hogan was also weary of rates going too high and sending the economy free-falling into a recession.
An increase would be yet another hit for mortgage-holders after they were raised by 1.25 per cent across 2023 and predicted to raise another three times this year.
Speaking to Channel Nine's Today on Monday morning, Mr Hogan said the economy was performing well but could 'get away from us' and send inflation soaring.
That scenario could send interest rates dramatically increasing from 4.35 per cent to levels similar to 1988-89 when they reached 17.5 per cent.
'We're not looking at that this time, but we don't want rates at six or seven (per cent),' Mr Hogan said.
'That's going to really put us into a recession and do damage. This is all about mitigating that risk.'
He said the RBA would try to keep the economy on an 'even kilter' throughout the year, which could mean more rate increases.
'The RBA is definitely not going to go next week, but that is the emerging risk that we could have to go one or two more times,' Mr Bowen said.
Mr Bowen warned the government not to 'throw money' at the economy in the upcoming May budget, adding they needed to stay 'disciplined'.
'You're not going to get rid of this inflation when we're creating 25,000 jobs a month this year so far,' he said.
'The cost of living is hurting everyone. And that's what we've got to get rid of.'
The RBA opted to hold the cash rate at 4.35 per cent in March and will announce their next decision on May 7.
READ MORE: Why Aussies struggling with the cost of living crisis may have to wait longer for mortgage cuts